Sensei’s Morning Forecast: When Titans Clash, Markets Flinch

Tesla’s historic $150B wipeout sends shockwaves across Wall Street as a public feud with Trump rattles investors. Meanwhile, Circle’s monster IPO fuels crypto buzz, silver breaks a 13-year record, and

🧠 One Big Thing

Tesla stock nosedived 14.3% on Thursday, erasing over $150 billion in market value — the largest single-day loss by dollar value in the company’s history. The plunge followed a public feud between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, raising fears of regulatory blowback and weakening political support. Short sellers profited handsomely, pocketing an estimated $4 billion in a single day (Reuters, Reuters).

💰 Money Move of the Day

Tesla's stock has a history of rebounding significantly after substantial declines. For instance, following a 73% drop from its November 2021 peak to December 2022, the stock surged 140% in the subsequent year. Similarly, after a 60% decline in early 2020, Tesla's shares skyrocketed by 804% over the next 12 months.These patterns suggest that sharp downturns in Tesla's stock price have historically been followed by strong recoveries — potentially offering long-term entry points. Check the chart of the day for my chart analysis. (nasdaq.com moomoo.com)

📊 Market Snapshot

Cryptocurrencies:
Bitcoin (BTC): $103,912 (▲ +2.31%)
Ethereum (ETH): $2,481 (▲ +2.72%)
XRP: $2.15 (▲ +2.69%)

Equity Indices (Futures):
S&P 500 (SPX): 5,960 (▲ +0.49%)
NASDAQ 100: 21,676 (▲ +0.44%)
FTSE 100: 8,810 (▲ +0.25%)

Commodities & Bonds:
10-Year US Treasury Yield: 4.383% (▼ -0.18%)
Oil (WTI): $63.53 (▲ +0.12%)
Gold: $3,361 (▲ +0.20%)

🕒 Data as of UK (BST): 12:30 / US (EST): 07:30 / Asia (Tokyo): 20:30

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✅ 5 Things to Know Today

Circle’s IPO Surges, Valuation Peaks at $19B

Stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) made a massive debut on the NYSE, with shares opening at $69 and peaking at $103.75 — a 168% spike from its IPO price of $31. The company raised around $1.1 billion, hitting a peak valuation of nearly $19 billion (Bloomberg).

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Tesla Shares Plunge Amid Musk-Trump Feud

Tesla's stock plummeted 14.3% on Thursday, erasing over $150 billion in market value—the largest single-day loss in the company's history. The sharp decline followed a public feud between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. Musk criticized Trump's proposed tax bill, leading Trump to threaten the termination of government contracts with Musk's companies. This escalating conflict has raised investor concerns over potential regulatory retaliation and the loss of federal support for Tesla (reuters.com).

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U.S. Jobs Report in Focus

May's nonfarm payrolls report is due today at 8:30 a.m. ET. Economists expect the U.S. to have added just 130,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate is projected to stay at 4.2% (Reuters).

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Silver Breaks Out to 13-Year High

Silver jumped to $36.07 per ounce on Thursday — the highest level since February 2012. A weaker U.S. dollar and rising inflation concerns are driving demand for the metal as a defensive asset (Mining.com).

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Congress Debates Who Regulates Crypto

The House Financial Services Committee debated the CLARITY Act, which seeks to clarify whether the SEC or CFTC should regulate cryptocurrencies. Support is split, with Democrats questioning the bill’s alignment with Trump-linked crypto interests (PYMNTS)

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🔍 Deeper Dive: Musk vs. Trump — How a Political Alliance Imploded and Shook Tesla